The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) has announced
that Arctic sea ice is now below the 2005 level and rapidly heading towards
last September’s one, which was recorded as the smallest level since satellite
measurements began 30 years ago.
Scientists are talking at the moment about a climatic
“tipping point,” a phenomenon bound to have its fair share of aftermaths.
In 2005, when the ice level hit its second lowest level, an
area of only 5.32 million sq km was covered in ice. On August 26 this year, it
was reported that the ice-covered area measured 5.26 million sq km. September
2007 data revealed only 4.13 million sq km of ice covering the Arctic sea.
And things aren’t looking any brighter this year. All to the
contrary, in fact. These low levels mentioned were reached in September ( 2005
and 2007, respectively), but since the 2008 graph is nothing short of a downward slope, scientists fear that, even
though the arctic summer is in its twilight days, the record could still be
broken.
Nevertheless, this doesn’t seem to be the biggest issue
here. The disturbing truth is that the ice level is headed down a declining
path and the Arctic region is doomed to see the day when, during the summer, it
will be only water. And if this had already been foreseen by scientists, who
claimed that by the year 2080, the Arctic sea would be ice-free, the more
recent predictions are a lot bleaker: some say by 2050, some by 2030 and some
reckon it will occur within as little as 5 years.
The absence of ice is bound to have a massive impact, both
economically and environmentally. On one hand, it would render drilling for oil
and gas possible-which, due to methane release, will further increase warming-
and on the other, animal species such as polar bears and whales would be left
drifting aimlessly into what used to be their natural habitat.
Further more, the ice melting would give rise to another
effect that goes by the name of
“Arctic amplification.” This happens “when the warming up
north is increased in a feedback mechanism and the effects spill southward
starting in autumn,” explained senior scientist Mark Serreze at the data center
in Boulder, Colo. to Associated Press.
Any way one might look at it, the picture looks really grim
and leaves almost no room to hope for improvement or change. No ice on the
Arctic sea could mean a torturous rite of passage for the Earth as we know it
now. And it will not overcome it unscarred.