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A major, disastrous earthquake is quite likely to occur
around New York City,
a recent study revealed. It appears that a pattern of subtle but active faults
makes the risk of earthquakes to the New
York City area substantially greater than formerly
believed.
The scientists say the insight comes after analyzing past
quakes, plus 34 years of new data on tremors, most of them perceptible only by
modern seismic instruments.
A similar news hit the people who live within 10 miles of
the controversial Indian Point nuclear power plant in Westchester County, about
24 miles north of the city. Approximately 300,000 people live in this area and
they are at the highest risk of earthquake disaster.
The scientists at Columbia’s
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory found the two regions are actually dangerous.
The study was published in the current issue of the Bulletin of the
Seismological Society of America.
"I wouldn't want to live within 5 or 10 miles of the
place," said Lynn Sykes, lead author of the paper, adding that the chance
of a catastrophic "earthquake is fairly high."
Regarding New York City’s
situation, Sykes said that big earthquakes usually hit the New York area about once every 100 years.
The last was in 1884. The study authors say that a magnitude five quake on the
Richter scale is most likely to occur, causing some moderate damage.
As for their other estimations, it is worth mentioning that
magnitude six quakes (10 times more powerful that a magnitude five) hit the
region every 670 years or so, and magnitude seven earthquakes (100 times bigger
than a magnitude five one) can happen every three-and-half-millennia or so.
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