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A study published by
meteorologist Tom Knutson reveals that global warming could cause the number of
hurricanes to get smaller by the end of the century. While this can prove to be
good news for countries affected by the very powerful storms, there seems to be
a downside to the matter: the hurricanes will be fiercer, but only with about 2
percent.
The study contradicts another work of the same researcher
which stated that global warming was to be accounted for the increased number
of these meteorological phenomena during the recent years.
Hurricanes have been seen in recent years as the proof of
the effect greenhouse gases have on our environment. Tom Knutson, a former
advocate of this idea, had also complained that the Bush administration was censoring
his past studies.
Knutson’s new study, based on a computer model, is seen with
both skepticism and appraisal by fellow researchers. While some of them,
including computer specialists, say the study lacks a precise enough modeling of
storms, others are quick to defend it.
The study states that tropical storms, which have the
ability to develop into hurricanes, will be 27 percent less likely to happen by
the end of the century, while hurricane frequency will drop 8 percent.
Knutson’s study could provide yet another proof in some
scientists’ theories that hurricane activity can be described by time cycle
which alternates periods of time with low activity with others when hurricanes
tend to form more often.
All being said, researchers have come only with one
conclusion: the subject is far from being elucidated and further studies and
information is needed in order to solve the problem.
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