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The hurricane season is far from being over, and September
is likely to bring at least five more named storms, four of which will become
hurricanes, William Gray and Phil Klotzbach from Colorado State University’s
forecast team revealed.
Although they said this should not be considered as a new
seasonal forecast, their predictions don’t look very promising. Two of the four
expected hurricanes are said to turn into major ones, category 3-4-5, all amid
a hurricane activity at about 190 percent of the September average.
Phil Klotzbach explained that September should be quite
active from this point of view, if we take into consideration the lowest
pressure readings on record in the tropical Atlantic during August and the
water temperatures that remain above-average in the tropical Atlantic. These
two factors point to an active hurricane activity in September.
This year, the hurricane season proved to be very active, with
three named storms during June-July, Bertha, Cristobal and Dolly, the last of
which turned into a Category 2 hurricane. In August, Gustav was the major
hurricane of the month.
The team at CSU said they would continue to improve their
forecasts, by using climate-related global and regional predictors, adding that
on October 1, they will be offering the prediction for October. The hurricane season
starts in June, and ends by September 30.
Earlier this year, NOAA predicted that the hurricane season
in the Atlantic Basin will be above normal, and warned that residents in the
usually affected areas should be prepared for evacuation. Tropical cyclones
have been responsible for killing millions of people and causing significant
property damage. Hurricane Katrina killed over 1,800 people in the U.S. and
cause damage estimated at $100 billion.
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