As you might expect, Bill Gates’ speech at this year’s CES
has nothing spectacular. On the other hand you can't really argue with a guy
whose vision, expertise and sheer hard work have made him the world's richest
man at the same time as placing him at the centre of the most important
technological developments of modern times.
He has championed the idea of widespread computer use and of
convergence between devices to enable what he calls the digital lifestyle. He
has also ensured the centrality of the personal computer in the digital world,
even as other devices from mobile phones to televisions provide increasingly
sophisticated services.
Bill Gates, bidding farewell to a trade show he has opened
for the last decade, predicted a more human side to computing in the next
decade and announced partnerships between Microsoft and Ford NBC, ABC and
Disney.
In a brief address to thousands of attendees at the Consumer
Electronics Show in Las Vegas,
Gates confirmed that this will also be his last year kicking off the annual
high-tech extravaganza as he steps down from day-to-day involvement at
Microsoft.
"This will be the first time since I was 17 that I
haven't had my full-time job at Microsoft," Gates said.
This year his talk centred on the successes of the past
digital decade and what he expected to be the main development in the coming
ten years. Not for him the passing fads of social networking and Web 2.0. His
big prediction was that computing itself would become more intuitive, that
easy-to-use devices like the iPhone would become the standard rather than the
exception.
"The first digital decade has been a great
success," he said of the past 10 years. "The second digital decade
will be more focused on connecting people. It will be more user-centric."
"This is the area that people underestimate the
most," he said of natural-user interface. "But the reaction to these
natural interfaces has been very strong.
Though Bill Gates has proven to have the same sense of humor,
as he ended his tech reign with a a spoof home video, and by challenging Robbie
Bach, the head of Microsoft's entertainment and devices division, to a match of
Guitar Hero, a video music game which is supposed to mimic the sensation of
being a rock star.
The two corporate heavyweights were joined on stage by real
life guitar rockers Slash and Kelly "Tipper Queen" Law-Yone, who
played a set.
The spoof home video showed how Bill Gates is trying to pursue
a new career. Gates want to be a rap star, but Jay Z turns him down. After he
tries to pursue a rock star career but U2’s Bono is very clear: "I can't
replace Edge because you got a high score on Guitar Hero, Bill"
Also the film industry is no place to start a new career as
a former software tycoon. Gates calls Steven Spielberg about an audition reel
showing Gates as a horror film figure. Spielberg in turn calls George Clooney
about a Bill Gates movie. "I can't play Bill Gates. I just can't ... ask
Russell Crowe," says Clooney.
The Daily Show's Jon Stewart turns Gates down as a co-anchor
after showing a clip of Gates running off the Daily Show set. As Microsoft
colleagues comment that it may not be a coincidence that Gates is leaving in an
election year, we see him turned down as running mate in separate phone
conversations with both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.
But let’s get back to Gates’ predictions. Analysts expect
Gates to be right again. "The industry looked to him for guidance,"
said Roger Kay, president of Endpoint Technologies, a technology research firm.
"And he's delivered on that. He's been a visionary from the
beginning."
Despite his spotty predictions record his departure could
leave a vacuum at the pinnacle of the tech world. "He's kind of like the
pope of our industry," said Gary Shapiro, president of the consumer
electronics industry. "And as the pope he always draws a crowd and people
follow every word he says. You either go to heaven or you don't if you have the
Microsoft blessing."
Bill Gates’ speech means an end of an era, not only for
Microsoft, but also for the tech world. Two techies are set to fill the huge
gap he leaves behind him: Craig Mundie and Ray Ozzie. Mundie, a Microsoft
veteran, takes over the post of chief research and strategy officer. Ozzie, the
man whose inventions include Lotus Notes, did not join Microsoft until 2005
when it took over his company Groove Networks. His future title will be chief
software architect.
But none of Gates' rumoured successors at Microsoft appear
capable of filling that wider industry role. Many see Gates' long-time rival
Steve Jobs as the man to fill his shoes. Jobs has already turned Apple around
and placed it at the forefront of consumer technology, digital entertainment
and cellphone innovation.
Larry Page and Sergey Brin, the founders of Google, may also
step up. But as the man who more than ever influenced how billions of people
interact with computers, Bill Gates will be irreplaceable.