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A new study conducted by Greg Holland of the National Center
for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and Peter Webster of Georgia Institute of
Technology revealed that the number of Atlantic hurricanes from each year has doubled
in the last 100 years.
Greg Holland has performed an analysis of the Atlantic
tropical cyclones in the past century and he identified three different periods.
The study says that since 1900 to 1930 there were six
Atlantic tropical cyclones (or major storms), of which four were hurricanes and
two were tropical storms.
From 1930 to 1940, the authors point out, the annual average
increased to 10, consisting of five hurricanes and five tropical storms.
In the final study period, from 1995 to 2005, the average
reached 15, of which eight were hurricanes and seven were tropical storms.
Holland
also noted that the increases over the last century correlate closely with
SSTs, (sea surface temperatures) which have risen by about 1.3 degrees
Fahrenheit in the last 100 years. The changes in SSTs took place in the years
prior to the sharp increases in storm frequency, with an SST rise of approximately
0.7 degrees Fahrenheit leading up to 1930 and a similar rise leading up to 1995
and continuing even after.
The authors note that other studies indicate that most of
the rise in Atlantic SSTs can be attributed to global warming.
The study concludes that warmer sea surface temperatures
(SSTs) and altered wind patterns associated with global climate change are
fueling much of the increase.
"These numbers are a strong indication that climate
change is a major factor in the increasing number of Atlantic hurricanes,"
Holland said in
a statement.
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