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In a new study, entitled “U.S. Internet Advertising
2008-2012 Forecast and Analysis: Defying Economic Crisis”, the research company
IDC concluded that the Internet advertising business will continue to grow fast
even as the current economic woes will lead to a contraction in ad spending
overall, essentially accelerating the transfer of marketing budgets from the
traditional media into the new.
IDC forecasted that in the next four years, Internet
advertising will grow about eight times as fast as advertising at large and the
revenues will double from $25.5 billion in 2007 to $51.1 billion in 2012.
In just five years, the Internet will become the number 2
medium, right behind direct marketing. IDC said that The Internet will surpass newspapers,
cable TV and broadcast TV. Video
advertising will be the principal disruptor of Internet advertising over the
next five years by attracting the most new marketing dollars. Its revenue will
grow sevenfold from $0.5 billion in 2007 to $3.8 billion in 2012 at a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 49.4%. This growth will take place because brand
advertisers will shift significant amounts of money into these video
commercials, primarily from broadcast television and to a lesser extent from
cable television.
"The size of the online video audience as well as the
time it spends watching video is sure to increase as broadband access
penetration increases, connections become faster, and as more premium content
is available," said Karsten Weide, program director, Digital Media and
Entertainment.
Search advertising will remain the one advertising format
that will garner the most revenue over the forecast period in the United States.
This means that for any media company, search must be a key part of its
strategy. Any media company that is not Google cannot ignore this segment even
if Google is towering above all others as segment leader with about 70% share
of the segment's revenue.
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