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A report issued by the U.S. firm Nemertes Research warned
that the information superhighway could become clogged with data by 2010. The reason,
Nemertes explained, is that bandwidth usage is outpacing infrastructure build
outs.
That could take the form of Web pages that take longer to
load and interruptions in videos that are downloaded or streamed, said Mike
Jude, a senior analyst with Nemertes. "If we don't do anything, we're
going to start looking like the dying days of dial-up access," he said.
Unless more than 100 billion dollars was invested in the
global internet infrastructure, a level of gridlock would develop that would
make it almost impossible to use rich media sites like YouTube. The effects
will make life on the internet more difficult for users.
Also it will be an obstacle in the way of the technical
revolution. "The next Google, YouTube, or Amazon might not arise, not
because of a lack of demand, but due to an inability to fulfil that
demand," the report added.
Nemertes estimated the investment needed at 137 billion
globally - double the level planned. The financial investment needed to
"bridge the gap" between demand and capacity in the US alone would
range from 42 billion to 55 billion dollars, or 60 per cent more than planned.
The report was part-funded by the Internet Innovation
Alliance (IIA) which campaigns for universal broadband in the US.
"We must take the necessary steps to build out network
capacity or potentially face internet gridlock that could wreak havoc on
internet services," said Larry Irving, co-chairman of the IIA.
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